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Prem Projections

James Trafford to Aston Villa from Manchester City

James Trafford · Incoming transfer · Manchester City

Verdict Delivered

This rumor DIED. It was dropped from the board after going quiet, last rated 2%.

State of play
MoveManchester City → Villa
OutcomeNever happened
Rated at the end2%
ResolvedAugust 9th

Leeds United have signed him, and Villa's goalkeeping succession is an open question again. The BBC reported on the evening of August 6th that the 23-year-old England international joined Leeds from Manchester City in a deal that could reach £45m. Villa were never the frontrunners. Fabrizio Romano reported on July 23rd that they were among the clubs following a goalkeeper who had slipped down City's order after Gianluigi Donnarumma arrived, and CityXtra reported preliminary contact with his representatives, but Newcastle and Spurs were also credited with interest and Leeds moved first: ESPN's Rob Dawson had club-to-club talks opening on July 23rd, Football Insider reported personal terms agreed on July 25th, and The Athletic reported a £40m agreement on July 27th. Villa never lodged a formal offer, and their planning behind Emiliano Martínez now runs through Noah Atubolu and Anatoliy Trubin.

How the Story Moved

DateWhat changed
July 24thTrackedRumor opened on the board at 13% (linked) — source: Fabrizio Romano / CityXtra / Oddschecker. Villa are tracking the 23-year-old England goalkeeper as succession planning behind Emiliano Martínez, whose future remains clouded by Juventus interest. Fabrizio Romano reported on July 23rd that Villa are among the clubs following Trafford, who has slipped down Manchester City's order since Gianluigi Donnarumma's arrival and is available permanently for around £40m; CityXtra reported Villa have held preliminary talks with his representatives. Villa are not the frontrunners — Leeds United are the clear favourites, with Newcastle and Tottenham also credited with interest, and Oddschecker priced Villa out to 5/1 on July 23rd. No formal Villa bid has been lodged, and the link sits alongside Noah Atubolu and Anatoliy Trubin as one of several goalkeeping options rather than a leading pursuit.
July 27thMovedLikelihood fell from 13% to 7% (cooling). Villa are tracking the 23-year-old England goalkeeper as succession planning behind Emiliano Martínez, whose future remains clouded by Juventus interest. Fabrizio Romano reported on July 23rd that Villa are among the clubs following Trafford, who has slipped down Manchester City's order since Gianluigi Donnarumma's arrival and is available permanently for around £40m; CityXtra reported Villa have held preliminary talks with his representatives. Villa are not the frontrunners — Leeds United are the clear favourites, with Newcastle and Tottenham also credited with interest, and Oddschecker priced Villa out to 5/1 on July 23rd. No formal Villa bid has been lodged, and the link sits alongside Noah Atubolu and Anatoliy Trubin as one of several goalkeeping options rather than a leading pursuit. The route has since narrowed sharply. Football Insider's Wayne Veysey reported on July 25th that Trafford has agreed personal terms with Leeds United and that the Yorkshire club, who are in advanced talks with Manchester City over the fee, expect to conclude the deal within days; ESPN's Rob Dawson had reported those club-to-club talks opening on July 23rd. With the goalkeeper having settled terms elsewhere and Villa never having lodged a formal offer, the move is cooling. Villa's goalkeeping planning is in any case tied to Emiliano Martínez, whose own move to Juventus is stuck on a valuation gap, and Noah Atubolu remains the more advanced of their alternatives.
August 7thMovedLikelihood fell from 7% to 2% (off). Leeds United have signed him, and Villa's goalkeeping succession is an open question again. The BBC reported on the evening of August 6th that the 23-year-old England international joined Leeds from Manchester City in a deal that could reach £45m. Villa were never the frontrunners. Fabrizio Romano reported on July 23rd that they were among the clubs following a goalkeeper who had slipped down City's order after Gianluigi Donnarumma arrived, and CityXtra reported preliminary contact with his representatives, but Newcastle and Spurs were also credited with interest and Leeds moved first: ESPN's Rob Dawson had club-to-club talks opening on July 23rd, Football Insider reported personal terms agreed on July 25th, and The Athletic reported a £40m agreement on July 27th. Villa never lodged a formal offer, and their planning behind Emiliano Martínez now runs through Noah Atubolu and Anatoliy Trubin.
August 9thVerdictRumor died — dropped from the board at 2%

Timeline since the rumor joined the board.