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Prem Projections

Leon Bailey to Sevilla

Leon Bailey · Outgoing transfer · Sevilla

The Verdict Right Now

50%likelihood
Talks / negotiationsdeal stage
Outgoingdirection
State of play
MoveVilla → Sevilla
In shortSevilla open talks on loan
Last reportedAugust 30th (today)
SourcingGold-standard reporting — an official statement or a top-tier reporter

Sevilla have begun negotiations to sign Bailey on loan, Sacha Tavolieri reported August 30th, with a contract extension attached so Villa avoid losing him free in 2027. Emery said ahead of Arsenal that Villa still expect him to leave — "this is our objective" — with Mbaye's arrival leaving no space in Villa's wide areas. Romano (August 29th) named Al Diriyah, Hull City and Sevilla as clubs asking Villa for conditions; Al Diriyah's interest echoes a previously failed move to Neom SC, and Hull's need has eased after signing two wingers. Villa have dropped their asking price to €9m-10m (The 4th Official, August 29th) for a permanent sale instead. No agreement yet with Sevilla. Bailey has a year left on his contract; wages of ~£120,000 a week remain the obstacle.

Primary source: Sacha Tavolieri, via TheHardTackle; Fabrizio Romano (X) · last corroborated August 30th.

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How the Story Moved

DateWhat changed
August 29thTrackedRumor opened on the board at 30% (contact) — source: Fabrizio Romano (X). Fabrizio Romano reported at 8:32am UK time on August 29th that Bailey is expected to leave Villa before the window shuts, with negotiations ongoing after several clubs -- including Al Diriyah, Hull City, and Sevilla -- asked Villa for conditions to sign the winger. It follows Unai Emery saying on August 28th that a second attempted Hull move had fallen through, with the club still hoping to find Bailey an exit before Tuesday's deadline. Bailey has a year left on his contract, wages of around £120,000 a week have been the obstacle throughout the summer, and Villa want a fee rather than a loan.
August 30thMovedLikelihood rose from 30% to 50% (talks). Sevilla have begun negotiations to sign Bailey on loan, Sacha Tavolieri reported on August 30th, with any deal set to include a contract extension so Villa avoid losing him for nothing when his current terms expire in 2027. Emery said ahead of Arsenal that Villa still expect Bailey to leave before the window shuts — “We were expecting him to leave... this is our objective” — with Mbaye's arrival leaving no space for him in Villa's wide areas. Romano (August 29th) had named Al Diriyah, Hull City and Sevilla as clubs asking Villa for conditions; Al Diriyah's interest echoes a previously failed move to Saudi side Neom SC, and Hull's need looks reduced after signing wingers Mohamed-Ali Cho (£11m, Nice) and Jean-Matteo Bahoya (Eintracht Frankfurt). Villa have reportedly dropped their asking price to €9m-10m (The 4th Official, August 29th) should a permanent sale be preferred to a loan. No agreement is yet in place with Sevilla. Bailey has a year left on his contract; wages of ~£120,000 a week remain the obstacle throughout.

Timeline reflects our tracking history since the rumor joined the board, not every media mention. For everything Villa, live: the Verdict homepage.