The daily verdict on everything Villa.
Prem Projections

Ollie Watkins to Manchester United

Ollie Watkins · Outgoing transfer · Manchester United

Verdict Delivered

This rumor DIED. It was dropped from the board after going quiet, last rated 3%.

State of play
MoveVilla → Manchester United
OutcomeNever happened
Rated at the end3%
ResolvedAugust 18th

The Athletic reported on the morning of August 4th that Manchester United are still assessing the striker market but are not expected to return for Watkins this summer, and that he no longer features in their plans. Read Aston Villa carried the report at 11.45am BST and CaughtOffside relayed the same Athletic line in its Tuesday morning round-up. That closes a strand that had run since July 24th: United's interest was always conditional on how they reshaped their forward line after signing Benjamin Sesko, and Michael Carrick's side are now understood to be looking at a cheaper profile. United may still sign a striker before the window shuts, but not this one. No bid was ever lodged with Villa, who valued Watkins at around GBP 60m and have consistently said he is not for sale. Arsenal remain the live interest. United emerged as fresh suitors for Watkins on July 24th, when the Mirror and Read Aston Villa reported that Ruben Amorim's side were readying an official approach for a striker they regard as a priority No.9. The picture on July 25th was of a stalemate rather than an escalation: United's move was tied to Joshua Zirkzee's future, with a Serie A exit for the Dutchman the trigger that would push them decisively towards Watkins, and the Mirror reported Arsenal hold the stronger hand in the GBP 40m race. Villa had already knocked back one United enquiry, and would only consider a sale after recruiting a younger forward.

Related

Every tracked rumor →

How the Story Moved

DateWhat changed
July 25thTrackedRumor opened on the board at 13% (linked) — source: The Telegraph / Sky Sports. Manchester United emerged as fresh suitors for Watkins on July 24th, with the Mirror and Read Aston Villa reporting that Ruben Amorim's side are readying an official approach for a striker seen as a priority No.9 target in their rebuild. Villa have already knocked back one United enquiry and insist Watkins is not for sale at their roughly £60m valuation; the Mirror pitched the fee talk closer to £40m. No formal bid has landed, and Villa would only consider a sale after recruiting a younger forward.
August 4thMovedLikelihood fell from 13% to 7% (cooling). AUGUST 4th - UNITED STEP AWAY. The Athletic reported on the morning of August 4th that Manchester United are still assessing the striker market but are not expected to return for Watkins this summer, and that he no longer features in their plans. Read Aston Villa carried the report at 11.45am BST and CaughtOffside relayed the same Athletic line in its Tuesday morning round-up. That closes the strand that had run since July 24th: United's interest was always conditional on how they reshaped their forward line after signing Benjamin Sesko, and Michael Carrick's side are now understood to be looking at a cheaper profile. United may still sign a striker before the window shuts, but not this one. No bid was ever lodged with Villa, who valued Watkins at around GBP 60m and have consistently said he is not for sale. Manchester United emerged as fresh suitors for Watkins on July 24th, when the Mirror and Read Aston Villa reported that Ruben Amorim's side were readying an official approach for a striker they regard as a priority No.9. The picture on July 25th was of a stalemate rather than an escalation: United's move is still tied to Joshua Zirkzee's future, with a Serie A exit for the Dutchman the trigger that would push them decisively towards Watkins, and the Mirror reported Arsenal hold the stronger hand in the GBP 40m race. Villa have already knocked back one United enquiry and insist Watkins is not for sale at their roughly GBP 60m valuation. No formal bid has landed, and Villa would only consider a sale after recruiting a younger forward. A further strand emerged in the July 25th round-ups: Villa turned down an approach from Fenerbahce, who had been preparing an offer of around GBP 35m and a three-year contract worth some GBP 7.5m-8.5m a year, with the club making clear the striker would not be sold at that level.
August 18thVerdictRumor died — dropped from the board at 8%
August 18thVerdictRumor died — dropped from the board at 7%

Timeline since the rumor joined the board.